{"id":6017,"date":"2020-07-14T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-07-14T10:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/?p=6017"},"modified":"2020-07-14T10:00:00","modified_gmt":"2020-07-14T10:00:00","slug":"what-are-experts-saying-about-home-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/?p=6017","title":{"rendered":"What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"358\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/20200714-KCM-Share-549x300-1.jpg\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices? | Simplifying The Market\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 5px; clear:both;max-width: 100%;\" link_thumbnail=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/20200714-KCM-Share-549x300-1.jpg 549w, https:\/\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/13163638\/20200714-KCM-Share.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 549px) 100vw, 549px\"><\/p>\n<p>Last week, a very well-respected real estate analytics firm surprised many with their home price projection for the next twelve months. <em>CoreLogic<\/em>, in their latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.corelogic.com\/blog\/2020\/7\/strong-demand-fueled-home-prices-increases-may-but-prices-expected-fall-over-the-year.aspx\">Home Price Index<\/a> said:<span id=\"more-42660\"><\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>&ldquo;The economic downturn that started in March 2020 is predicted to cause a 6.6% drop in the HPI by May 2021, which would be the first decrease in annual home prices in over 9 years.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The forecast was surprising as it was strikingly different than any other projection by major analysts. Six of the other eight forecasts call for appreciation, and the two who project depreciation indicate it will be one percent or less.<\/p>\n<p>Here is a graph showing all of the projections:<a href=\"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/20200714-MEM-Eng-1.jpg\" data-rel=\"lightbox-image-0\" data-rl_title=\"\" data-rl_caption=\"\" title=\"\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-42662 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/20200714-MEM-Eng-1.jpg\" alt=\"What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices? | Simplifying The Market\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/20200714-MEM-Eng-1.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/13163640\/20200714-MEM-Eng-1-400x300.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\"><\/a>There&rsquo;s a simple formula to determine the future price of any item: calculate the supply of that item in ratio to the demand for that item. In housing right now, demand far exceeds supply. Last week mortgage applications to buy a home were <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mba.org\/2020-press-releases\/july\/mortgage-applications-increase-in-latest-mba-weekly-survey\">33% higher<\/a> than they were at the same time last year. The available inventory of homes for sale is <a href=\"https:\/\/news.move.com\/2020-07-09-Realtor-com-R-Weekly-Recovery-Report-Record-Breaking-Traffic-Signals-Summer-Buying-Season-is-Here\">31% lower<\/a> than it was last year. Normally, these numbers should call for homes to continue to appreciate.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Because of the uncertainty with the pandemic, any economic prediction is extremely difficult. However, looking at the limited supply of homes for sale and the tremendous demand for housing, it is difficult to disagree with the majority of analysts who are calling for price appreciation.<\/p>\n<p>Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"358\" src=\"https:\/\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/13163638\/20200714-KCM-Share-549x300.jpg\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"What Are Experts Saying about Home Prices? | Simplifying The Market\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px;clear:both;max-width: 100%\">Last week, a very well-respected real estate analytics firm surprised many with their home price projection for the next twelve months. CoreLogic, in their latest Home Price Index said: &ldquo;The economic downturn that started in March 2020 is predicted to cause a 6.6% drop in the HPI by May 2021, which would be the first [&hellip;]<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"bgseo_title":"","bgseo_description":"","bgseo_robots_index":"","bgseo_robots_follow":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,84,85,86,121],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6017","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-for-buyers","category-for-sellers","category-housing-market-updates","category-pricing"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6017","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6017"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6017\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6017"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6017"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6017"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}