{"id":5962,"date":"2020-06-23T10:00:26","date_gmt":"2020-06-23T10:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/?p=5962"},"modified":"2020-06-23T10:00:26","modified_gmt":"2020-06-23T10:00:26","slug":"what-are-the-experts-saying-about-future-home-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/?p=5962","title":{"rendered":"What Are the Experts Saying About Future Home Prices?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"358\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/20200623-KCM-Share-549x300-1.jpg\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"What Are the Experts Saying About Future Home Prices? | Simplifying The Market\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 5px; clear:both;max-width: 100%;\" link_thumbnail=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/20200623-KCM-Share-549x300-1.jpg 549w, https:\/\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/22124609\/20200623-KCM-Share.jpg 750w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 549px) 100vw, 549px\"><\/p>\n<p>A worldwide pandemic and an economic recession have had a tremendous effect on the nation. The uncertainty brought about by both has made predicting consumer behavior nearly impossible. For that reason, forecasting home prices has become extremely difficult.<\/p>\n<p><span id=\"more-42558\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Normally, there&rsquo;s a simple formula to determine the future price of any item: calculate the supply of that item in ratio to the demand for that item. In housing right now, demand far exceeds supply. Mortgage applications to buy a home just rose to the <a href=\"https:\/\/economics.cmail20.com\/t\/ViewEmail\/d\/2C4CBEA02A5524AE2540EF23F30FEDED\/5323CD85A2087AFD22947492D9797BBC\">highest level in 11 years<\/a> while inventory of homes for sale is at (or near) an all-time low. That would usually indicate strong appreciation for home values as we move throughout the year.<\/p>\n<p>Some experts, however, are not convinced the current rush of purchasers is sustainable. Ralph McLaughlin, <em>Chief Economist<\/em> at <em>Haus<\/em>, explained in their <a href=\"https:\/\/haus.com\/resources\/june-2020-hausing-market-forecast\">June 2020 Hausing Market Forecast<\/a> why there is concern:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>&ldquo;The upswing that we&rsquo;ll see this summer is a result of pent-up demand from homebuyers and supply-in-progress from homebuilders that has simply been pushed off a few months. However, after this pent-up demand goes away, the true economic scarring due to the pandemic will begin to affect the housing market as the tide of pent-up demand goes out.&rdquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The virus and other challenges currently impacting the industry have created a wide range of thoughts regarding the future of home prices. Here&rsquo;s a list of analysts and their projections, from the lowest depreciation to the highest appreciation:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.corelogic.com\/insights-download\/homeowner-equity-report.aspx\">CoreLogic<\/a>: Year-Over-Year decline of -1.5%<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/haus.com\/resources\/june-2020-hausing-market-forecast\">Haus<\/a>: Year-Over-Year decline of -1%<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/zillow.mediaroom.com\/2020-06-18-U-S-Home-Value-Growth-Slows-Prices-May-Fall-in-Second-Half-of-2020\">Zillow<\/a>: Year-Over-Year change is forecasted to bottom out at -0.7%.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pulsenomics.com\/surveys\/#home-price-expectations\">Home Price Expectation Survey<\/a>: Decline of -0.3% in 2020<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fanniemae.com\/resources\/file\/research\/emma\/pdf\/Housing_Forecast_061520.pdf\">Fannie Mae<\/a>: Increase of 0.4% in 2020<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/fmac-resources\/research\/pdf\/202006-Forecast.pdf\">Freddie Mac<\/a>: Increase of 2.3% in 2020<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zelmanassociates.com\/\">Zelman &amp; Associates<\/a>: Increase of 3.0% in 2020<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nar.realtor\/sites\/default\/files\/documents\/forecast-Q2-2020-us-economic-outlook-05-28-2020.pdf\">National Association of Realtors<\/a>: Increase of 3.8% in 2020<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mba.org\/news-research-and-resources\/research-and-economics\/forecasts-and-commentary\/mortgage-finance-forecast-archives\">Mortgage Bankers Association<\/a>: Increase of 4.0% in 2020<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We can garner two important points from this list:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>There is no real consensus among the experts.<\/li>\n<li>No one projects prices to crash like they did in 2008.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Whether you&rsquo;re thinking of buying a home or selling your house, know that home prices will not change dramatically this year, even with all of the uncertainty we&rsquo;ve faced in 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Content previously posted on Keeping Current Matters<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"358\" src=\"https:\/\/files.simplifyingthemarket.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/22124609\/20200623-KCM-Share-549x300.jpg\" class=\"webfeedsFeaturedVisual wp-post-image\" alt=\"What Are the Experts Saying About Future Home Prices? | Simplifying The Market\" style=\"margin-bottom: 5px;clear:both;max-width: 100%\">A worldwide pandemic and an economic recession have had a tremendous effect on the nation. The uncertainty brought about by both has made predicting consumer behavior nearly impossible. For that reason, forecasting home prices has become extremely difficult. Normally, there&rsquo;s a simple formula to determine the future price of any item: calculate the supply of [&hellip;]<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"bgseo_title":"","bgseo_description":"","bgseo_robots_index":"","bgseo_robots_follow":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,84,85,121],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5962","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-for-buyers","category-for-sellers","category-pricing"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5962","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5962"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5962\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5962"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5962"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.sfloridaluxuryhomes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5962"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}